Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.730484 4.446521 5.244039 6.195421 7.296564 8.527985 10.006261
2025-10-05 2.856658 3.820119 5.002447 6.548360 8.503187 10.878567 13.967378
2025-10-12 2.255372 3.320667 4.736836 6.730918 9.435275 12.939919 17.783124
2025-10-19 1.880062 3.006078 4.607943 7.007037 10.452474 15.155106 21.975718
2025-10-26 1.536730 2.651634 4.339053 7.010616 11.047340 16.812797 25.532063
2025-11-02 1.223513 2.272063 3.955702 6.764296 11.213063 17.837106 28.242557
2025-11-09 0.985495 1.962761 3.621982 6.527911 11.334995 18.768832 30.852960
2025-11-16 0.839410 1.781591 3.463634 6.539876 11.826639 20.276376 34.423954
2025-11-23 0.721305 1.627267 3.323798 6.555519 12.310398 21.792597 38.104679
2025-11-30 0.614313 1.472327 3.156304 6.493709 12.643675 23.075730 41.488766
2025-12-07 0.499399 1.276449 2.878885 6.188587 12.506873 23.548312 43.552856
2025-12-14 0.430172 1.165225 2.749635 6.143940 12.827677 24.814260 47.027354
2025-12-21 0.370013 1.063881 2.628492 6.106307 13.170065 26.168239 50.799153
2025-12-28 0.350313 1.057055 2.709428 6.491709 14.364181 29.145744 57.647793
2026-01-04 0.318634 1.012837 2.699996 6.684118 15.193410 31.512129 63.554547
2026-01-11 0.295824 0.987226 2.729067 6.961995 16.218415 34.314417 70.435002
2026-01-18 0.260153 0.917357 2.641247 6.966578 16.675075 36.060419 75.456833
2026-01-25 0.217273 0.815267 2.456250 6.721925 16.575087 36.708964 78.434424
2026-02-01 0.181578 0.725281 2.285899 6.486938 16.467179 37.324153 81.373926
2026-02-08 0.160754 0.677856 2.220571 6.498861 16.906808 39.072251 86.632510
2026-02-15 0.142677 0.634848 2.160050 6.514425 17.354105 40.863251 92.079529
2026-02-22 0.124479 0.586086 2.074375 6.452960 17.613770 42.274194 96.836679
2026-03-01 0.102181 0.514450 1.906954 6.149539 17.263315 42.350699 98.849483